今年3月以来,为应对油价、食品价格和其他生活成本的普遍飙升,美联储已四次加息,加息幅度累计达225个基点,但美国通胀水平仍未出现明显下降。
JERUSALEM -- It's a far cry from the usual hustle and bustle, so typical of Jerusalem's Old City.The steps of the Damascus Gate have been cleared out. Gone are the fruit and sumac vendors. And inside the Old City: rows and rows of shops have shut down."This is the worst days we've ever seen in our lives. Even when the corona[virus] was here it was better than this," said Adnan Jaffa, who runs the Jaffar Sweets shop. "Because of the war ... the situation. In five minutes we're going to close because there is nothing to do."For those who know the Old City, it's an eerie place to be. Even the Church of the Holy Sepulchre -- where Christ is believed to have been buried and resurrected -- was empty on Sunday but for a handful of worshippers. It felt like we were being given a private tour of one of the world's holiest and most visited sites.Ehab Barakat, who was cycling through the deserted Old City, was one of the few customers out there on the city's streets.Asked about the increasing tensions, he said: "We hope it will be quiet."He added, "This is the time to be united. One."But the latest cycle of violence has come has no surprise, he said."The new government of Israel … you would be stupid if you would not guess what is going to happen. And we are not stupid. We were just waiting for the time.""The people get so tied … like a balloon. With a lot of air inside. And then it will…"His English may have failed him -- but it seemed clear what he meant.Israeli police now stand at the entrance to the Damascus Gate, occasionally searching young men. Orthodox Jews occasionally wander through the Old City to worship at the Western Wall. But there is none of the fervour which people associate with Jerusalem. It's been replaced by a strange quiet.In the words of Abushadi Sinjlawi, another shopkeeper we found closing early for the day, "The city is under lockdown."But away from the eerie quiet and melancholy atmosphere in the Old City, the situation is tense. Jerusalem is said to be the most heavily policed city in the country, and that will likely remain the case as the war in the south rages on.Checkpoints have been set up across East Jerusalem. And videos are spreading online appearing to show the harassment of Palestinians at the hands of the police. Cars are being stopped and searched. There are videos of apparent police beatings. In sporadic, individual incidents where locals have clashed with police, the response appears to have been brute force.Already at least 50 Palestinians have been killed in East Jerusalem and the West Bank since the war broke out -- that's more than the highest ever monthly total since the UN began keeping records in 2005.。不少经济学家指出,通胀高企是美国政府对内和对外一系列政策共同作用的恶果。不顾专家警告 美国大量印钞首先,美国政府不顾专家警告,大量印钞。

B | 在新冠肺炎疫情暴发后,美国政府不顾舆论对通胀的担忧,出台了大规模的经济刺激法案,大量增发美元。仅从2020年3月到2021年3月的一年的时间里,美联储发放了近5万亿美元。当时包括美国前财政部长萨默斯在内的许多专家均发出警告称,刺激力度过大可能会引起经济过热。然而美国政府却对此置若罔闻。极度宽松的货币政策导致大量的货币进入流通。

C | 对美联储缩表的预期造成了美元大量回流,叠加美国的货币宽松政策,也进一步推动美国的通货膨胀。

D | 美煽动俄乌冲突并滥施制裁反遭通胀反噬其次,美国政府不断拱火浇油,导致了俄乌冲突的爆发,美国及其盟友还对俄罗斯滥施制裁,冲击全球的能源市场和粮食市场,导致全球能源、粮食和其他全球大宗商品价格的快速上涨,到头来对美国国内通胀推波助澜。美国挥舞贸易制裁大棒 推动本国通胀再次,从上届美国政府开始至今,美国对中国发起贸易战。然而,中国是美国最大的商品供应国,美国民众的生活对来自中国的进口商品有着极大的需求。美国多家智库和研究机构曾做过测算,如果美国取消全部对华加征关税,将使美国通胀率下降约一个百分点。从这个意义上来说,对中国的出口商品关税,也是推动美国通货膨胀整体水平的一个重要原因。

E | 治标不治本 《通胀削减法案》沦为政治秀受高物价和金融环境紧缩等多重因素影响,美国经济在今年第一和第二季度连续下滑,已陷入技术性衰退。通胀已成为美国民众最关注的经济议题之一。

F | 美国总统拜登今年8月16日签署《通胀削减法案》,法案虽以抗击通胀为名,但实际作用受到多方质疑。分析人士认为,该法案治标不治本,是民主党为中期选举拉票之举,很难真正缓解美国当前的高通胀困境。
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